Tuesday, January 31, 2017
On Models and Risk / BIS on Distributed Ledger
BIS on Distributed Ledger #Risk http://www.bis.org/review/r170131e.htm
Tuesday, January 17, 2017
GAO on GDP to Debt Measures
The debt-to-GDP ratio will reach historic levels in 2032. Learn why in our report on the nation's fiscal health: https://t.co/PRslAXatCv pic.twitter.com/Lj7i02HTkd— U.S. GAO (@USGAO) January 18, 2017
DCarsonCPA HR, HRIS and Vendor to Hire Lines on Project support
DCarsonCPA HR, HRIS and Vendor to Hire Lines on Project support.
Labor to Hire Cycles of Technology and Teamwork are woefully disconnected from core Economic and Financial Purposes to map Supply to Demand with Lean Efficiency . We can help for the key needs here where Entity, Policy and Community needs for improvements align.
http://www.dcarsoncpa.com/prtc_lines/hr_hris_and_procurement
DCarsonCPA MFC One Lines on Joomla (#ALB)
DCarsonCPA MFC One Lines on Joomla (#ALB)
DCarsonCPA MFC One Lines emphasize the value through a template of Global Financial Decision Making Research for the knowledge to services lines to help on Entity and Cross Sector needs in the Economy and Financials. As evolving in cycles of continual improvements that exist as our lines to bring the optimal potential of cross functional skills on analysis to help on performance improvements for Entity, Policy and Community needs in the Economy and Financials through Services, Research and Outreach on the #CFO #PM #BA #Analyst lines.
Where the Macro and Micro Financials, Legal / Compliance, Technology and Teamwork meet for Entity AND Societal needs they define a pathway to potentials for solutions on improvements to Teamwork, and our active live beta (#ALB) and working thesis on the value at work in the Economy and Financials where we all seek improvements through workflows and opportunities.
Where Industry, Policy + Community lines meet common challenges in the Economy and Financials and the knowledge of the related teamwork needs for Economics, Policy, Financials, Legal and Technology and other sector specific business partners covered through Quant and STEM lines must find better pathways to meet to help one economic improvements if we are to improve on the pathways for a more common return to #EGALBO.
Working with the skills of Financials, Technology and the framework of Macro, Micro and Legal Frameworks for improvements in the Economy through the Financials.
DCarsonCPA MFC One lines on Joomla (#ALB)
DCarsonCPA MFC One Lines emphasize the value through a template of Global Financial Decision Making Research for the knowledge to services lines to help on Entity and Cross Sector needs in the Economy and Financials. As evolving in cycles of continual improvements that exist as our lines to bring the optimal potential of cross functional skills on analysis to help on performance improvements for Entity, Policy and Community needs in the Economy and Financials through Services, Research and Outreach on the #CFO #PM #BA #Analyst lines.
Where the Macro and Micro Financials, Legal / Compliance, Technology and Teamwork meet for Entity AND Societal needs they define a pathway to potentials for solutions on improvements to Teamwork, and our active live beta (#ALB) and working thesis on the value at work in the Economy and Financials where we all seek improvements through workflows and opportunities.
Where Industry, Policy + Community lines meet common challenges in the Economy and Financials and the knowledge of the related teamwork needs for Economics, Policy, Financials, Legal and Technology and other sector specific business partners covered through Quant and STEM lines must find better pathways to meet to help one economic improvements if we are to improve on the pathways for a more common return to #EGALBO.
Working with the skills of Financials, Technology and the framework of Macro, Micro and Legal Frameworks for improvements in the Economy through the Financials.
DCarsonCPA MFC One lines on Joomla (#ALB)
DCarsonCPA on Advisory (#ALB on Wix)
DCarsonCPA on Advisory (#ALB on Wix):
Innovate, Analyze, Refine Repeat line #IARR on cycles of continual improvement and lean engineering gave rise to a unique set of skills for us to work with deep lines on Domestic and Global Research and value for Entity, Policy and Community Improvements. DCarsonCPA on Advisory lines open the opportunity on Macro and Micro, Legal / Compliance, Financial, Technology and Teamwork support where we can take that knowledge to help on services, research and outreach for improvements.
You can learn more at
DCarsonCPA on Advisory
Innovate, Analyze, Refine Repeat line #IARR on cycles of continual improvement and lean engineering gave rise to a unique set of skills for us to work with deep lines on Domestic and Global Research and value for Entity, Policy and Community Improvements. DCarsonCPA on Advisory lines open the opportunity on Macro and Micro, Legal / Compliance, Financial, Technology and Teamwork support where we can take that knowledge to help on services, research and outreach for improvements.
You can learn more at
DCarsonCPA on Advisory
Saturday, January 14, 2017
NBER - Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility
NBER Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility
Francis X. Diebold, Frank Schorfheide, Minchul Shin
A Non Official/ Non Expert Model of DSGE through R
A Non Official Non Expert Model of DSGE through R
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium models made (relatively) easy with R
Mathworks: Analyze DSGE models with MATLAB
Mathworks . MATLAB:
DSGE
Contact sales
Analyze DSGE models with MATLAB
https://www.mathworks.com/discovery/dsge.html
IMF Hiding in the Shadows
| IMF Hiding in the Shadows The Growth of the Underground Economy Friedrich Schneider with Dominik Enste https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/issues/issues30/ |
IMF What Are Economic Models?
Back to Basics
What Are Economic Models?
FINANCE & DEVELOPMENT, June 2011, Vol. 48, No. 2
How economists try to simulate reality
Sample of a Template
Sample of a Template:
Bank of England 4Q16 article :
What have Brazil nuts, fish, particle physics and the economy got in common? http://bankofeng.uk/lw31307bynB
Bank of England 4Q16 article :
What have Brazil nuts, fish, particle physics and the economy got in common? http://bankofeng.uk/lw31307bynB
Cross Functional Constructs . Optimize Analysis Templates
Cross Functional Constructs Operational Engineering rightfully works with a least squares model from product to design to minimize input for value of outputs across ongoing cycles of continuous improvements. A Reduction Template must be successful in identifying the minimal lines of inputs to optimize analysis.
Government collect data in several manners from which to support Entity, Cross Sector and Citizen Value at work including Trade.
Reducing the Analysis to a Formula.
Government collect data in several manners from which to support Entity, Cross Sector and Citizen Value at work including Trade.
Reducing the Analysis to a Formula.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis Testing - using the known to define the unknown for Macro Awareness.
Models follow Principles, Principles echo financials and additional constructs like accrual and define the unknown and unknowable including the Dark Economy and AML lines as example. The Greatest source of Dark Economy Knowledge is collective teamwork on AML, BEPS and non banked activity measurement through likely imperfect statistical testing methods to fill knowledge gaps.
On measuring unknown areas of the Economy. The Analysis of Obfuse areas of the Economy will yield knowledge of area measurement statistics cross applicable to the range of the known from which to build models.
Models follow Principles, Principles echo financials and additional constructs like accrual and define the unknown and unknowable including the Dark Economy and AML lines as example. The Greatest source of Dark Economy Knowledge is collective teamwork on AML, BEPS and non banked activity measurement through likely imperfect statistical testing methods to fill knowledge gaps.
On measuring unknown areas of the Economy. The Analysis of Obfuse areas of the Economy will yield knowledge of area measurement statistics cross applicable to the range of the known from which to build models.
Modelling for Imperfect Data / Spotting Model Gaming
Modelling for Imperfect Data / Spotting Model Gaming
Certain less than Democratic, Free or Open Societies will inevitably seek to place more restrictive controls over reporting such that analysis will need to be cross verified to external points of inputs and outputs for objective measurement. CBanking is the online flow of resources, the Dark Economy is off map activity beyond mapping potential. Every Economy has Dark Sectors that correspond to AML and Non Banked Activity the understanding of AML and Non Bank Activity thus provides a composite of add back knowledge in addition to externally measured inputs and outputs to reach best possible assessments of a less then open economy or an under developed economy in terms of mechanisms of Financial Reporting ie Banked vs. Non Banked or under banked Economies. These annomalies provide template error check run streams for pseudo code.
Dark Segments of the Economy may have additional value to cross analysis through discovery potential on economic research
Certain less than Democratic, Free or Open Societies will inevitably seek to place more restrictive controls over reporting such that analysis will need to be cross verified to external points of inputs and outputs for objective measurement. CBanking is the online flow of resources, the Dark Economy is off map activity beyond mapping potential. Every Economy has Dark Sectors that correspond to AML and Non Banked Activity the understanding of AML and Non Bank Activity thus provides a composite of add back knowledge in addition to externally measured inputs and outputs to reach best possible assessments of a less then open economy or an under developed economy in terms of mechanisms of Financial Reporting ie Banked vs. Non Banked or under banked Economies. These annomalies provide template error check run streams for pseudo code.
Dark Segments of the Economy may have additional value to cross analysis through discovery potential on economic research
Economic Absolutes
Economic Absolutes:
Citizens
Government (Agency)
Taxation
Expenditures
Borrowing
Delegated Authority to Central Banking
Macro Policy
Fractional Reserve Banking
Citizens
Government (Agency)
Taxation
Expenditures
Borrowing
Delegated Authority to Central Banking
Macro Policy
Fractional Reserve Banking
DCarsonCPA MMDF
DCarsonCPA MMDF:
Macro Model DF quick lines to digest DSGE and FRB lines to Constructs. Review lines to compare and contrast Macro and Micro Lines on Analysis to a wire frame.
Macro Models Broad Economic Research (Employing Roll Ups + Statistical elements)
Micro Models Driven from Financials
Model Formats in use D + F
Crib notes
Macro Model DF quick lines to digest DSGE and FRB lines to Constructs. Review lines to compare and contrast Macro and Micro Lines on Analysis to a wire frame.
Macro Models Broad Economic Research (Employing Roll Ups + Statistical elements)
Micro Models Driven from Financials
Model Formats in use D + F
Crib notes
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